Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.236741 0.267229 0.299558 0.336330 0.376931 0.420327 0.470155
2025-08-10 0.200829 0.242852 0.290020 0.346664 0.412607 0.486712 0.576039
2025-08-17 0.169030 0.217161 0.273929 0.345351 0.432295 0.534157 0.661933
2025-08-24 0.145441 0.197332 0.261305 0.345163 0.451283 0.580133 0.747317
2025-08-31 0.126590 0.180599 0.249929 0.344233 0.467770 0.622560 0.829408
2025-09-07 0.114324 0.170664 0.245654 0.351057 0.493382 0.676651 0.927846
2025-09-14 0.101919 0.158921 0.237461 0.351328 0.509502 0.718407 1.011496
2025-09-21 0.091544 0.148761 0.230205 0.351741 0.525050 0.759317 1.095039
2025-09-28 0.082740 0.139859 0.223713 0.352288 0.540166 0.799635 1.178796
2025-10-05 0.076339 0.133862 0.220761 0.357365 0.561461 0.848856 1.276251
2025-10-12 0.071755 0.130193 0.220838 0.366628 0.588906 0.907451 1.388707
2025-10-19 0.066352 0.124608 0.217399 0.370077 0.607565 0.953839 1.485128
2025-10-26 0.061970 0.120494 0.216225 0.377355 0.633004 1.012148 1.602725
2025-11-02 0.058594 0.117766 0.217029 0.387706 0.663565 1.079193 1.735714
2025-11-09 0.053261 0.110996 0.210543 0.385699 0.674478 1.116964 1.826361
2025-11-16 0.048755 0.105246 0.205268 0.385194 0.687507 1.158185 1.923418
2025-11-23 0.044608 0.099720 0.199886 0.384013 0.699142 1.197413 2.018509
2025-11-30 0.042137 0.097181 0.199574 0.391426 0.725122 1.259912 2.151573
2025-12-07 0.038890 0.092734 0.195399 0.391678 0.738916 1.303302 2.255858
2025-12-14 0.035970 0.088635 0.191516 0.392108 0.752851 1.347203 2.362147
2025-12-21 0.033333 0.084846 0.187893 0.392697 0.766925 1.391626 2.470471
2025-12-28 0.031485 0.082573 0.187022 0.398264 0.789870 1.451352 2.605342
2026-01-04 0.030262 0.081570 0.188572 0.408430 0.821352 1.526292 2.767304